Strategic Planning

The xAI cofounder who resigned said before leaving: "Recursive self-improvement loops will likely go live within 12 months, and the right tools could unlock 100x productivity." RSI is the point where AI systems start meaningfully improving themselves. It is the threshold most people treat as a distant theoretical concern. The xAI cofounder is saying it is a 12-month operational timeline. Separately: OpenAI's roadmap points to an "AI research intern" — an early form of recursive self-improvement — expected around September 2026. Demis Hassabis at DeepMind has forecast AGI within five years. Multiple forecasts from multiple labs are converging on a 2027–2028 window for a fast takeoff. These are not fringe predictions from AI doomers. These are the technical leads at the organizations building the technology. For B2B enterprise teams, the relevant question is not whether you believe these timelines. It is what it means for your planning horizon if even one of them is close to right. A technology that delivers 100x productivity shifts in 12–18 months does not fit inside a standard three-year technology roadmap. The teams that will benefit most are the ones already practicing the muscle of rapid reorientation. The window is shorter than most roadmaps assume. #AIStrategy #B2BMarketing …more

Noam Brown is one of the researchers who built o1. When he says he won't predict AI timelines beyond 3 months, that sentence deserves more than a scroll-past. A year ago, the researchers closest to the frontier felt comfortable projecting 12 months out. Now the same people won't commit to a quarter beyond the current one. Not because they've lost confidence in the technology. Because the pace has made honest forecasting nearly impossible. This is the part of the AI conversation that most business planning ignores. Roadmaps built on 2030 assumptions are being written by people who are more confident than the people actually building the thing. That's a problem. Not because long-term vision is useless — it isn't. But because the assumptions underneath that vision are expiring faster than the planning cycles built to review them. The practical shift: stop anchoring your AI strategy to a 3-year horizon and start running it like a quarterly operating decision. What can we build, test, and learn in the next 90 days? What do we need to be true for this to work? What breaks if the model we're building on gets replaced in six months? The teams that will compound the fastest aren't the ones with the most sophisticated 2030 roadmap. They're the ones that have built the muscle to reorient quickly when the ground shifts. It shifts every quarter now. Plan accordingly. Full YouTube video here: https://radi8.it/TXa7sFd #AIStrategy …more